Next Shot of Rain
The low pressure, and subsequent cold front, responsible for the rain yesterday is now long gone.
In its wake, an area of high pressure will slide through today with some pleasant weather. More rain will quickly build in behind the high, though.
Skies will be mixed today with some areas of low level lingering cloudiness this morning, fair weather clouds throughout the day, and some thin clouds that may blanket the sky late. Overall, though, there should be a good deal of sunshine and no rain during the daytime hours.
With the high building in from the southwest, light northwest winds will blow during the morning and midday hours. Wind speeds will be just over 5 mph. During the afternoon, the wind will become light and variable, if not calm at times.
Afternoon temperatures will be close to the seasonal averages, ranging from 70 to 75 degrees, but with most areas on the higher end of that range.
The wind will pick back up from the east this evening, again with speeds just over 5 mph. Clouds will continue to increase and thicken this evening as well.
A new area of low pressure will track into the area after midnight, passing near or directly over the Finger Lakes early Thursday morning.
Rain should break out ahead of the low in the 2-4 AM timeframe and will persist through the early morning hours. The rain may come down heavy at times.
Thunder will also be possible, especially across the Southern Tier and into the eastern Finger Lakes, including areas such as Elmira, Ithaca, and Cortland. Any thunderstorms will enhance the rainfall, leading to some torrential downpours.
As the rain tapers to showers by the mid-morning hours Thursday, most areas will have received a half-inch to an inch of rainfall. Locally higher amounts are likely, though.
Showers will continue throughout Thursday but will be much more hit-or-miss after the steady morning rain moves out. Temperatures will be locked in the 60s with the clouds, showers, and blustery northwest winds behind the low.
Weekend, Next Week’s Weather
Friday will end up being a day similar to today. With low pressure quickly exiting to the northeast, a broad, weak area of high pressure will build in.
Expect a mix of sun and clouds on Friday with no precipitation falling. Afternoon highs will reach the low 70s.
Saturday is increasingly looking dry as well with the high overhead. Earlier in the week, the models were hinting at rain with a coastal low. Now, however, only a weak low that scoots off the coast of the Carolinas is expected with no impact on our weather here.
Much of Sunday will likewise be dry, but by the evening, a small system may move in from the northwest. This could spread some showers or even thunderstorms into the area late in the day, but especially after dark Sunday night.
These could linger into early Monday, but the timing and path of the parent system remain uncertain this far out.
Temperatures will remain seasonable, with highs Saturday in the low 70s and highs Sunday in the mid 70s. Both days should have morning lows mostly in the 50 to 55 degree range, but probably with a few colder pockets.
Warmer air will start to build in next week, with highs in the upper 70s Tuesday and a couple of shots at the 80s thereafter. However, temperatures will ultimately depend on whether or not afternoon showers and storms develop on a given day. Most of the time will probably end up dry, but it is too early to tell for sure.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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