Mild Weather
A large area of warm air continues to reside over the Eastern United States, aided in part by high pressure now east of New England and an active storm track across the middle of the nation.
A south-southeast flow of air around the high has brought moisture into the region off the Atlantic Ocean. Low clouds, some fog, and a few drips of drizzle are widespread throughout much of the Finger Lakes this morning. Temperatures are being held in the mid and upper 50s to start the day as a result.
The one exception is in the immediate Rochester area, where skies are mostly clear. Proving the warming impact of the cloud cover, temperatures here are about ten degrees colder to start the day in the mid and upper 40s.
Much of the day will be spent gradually burning off this layer of low-level moisture. Clouds will be persistent in the morning and will slowly break up this afternoon. Most areas should see some sunshine before the end of the day.
Precipitation will be hard to come by, with just a few spits of rain and drizzle, mostly this morning. Winds will continue from the south-southeast with speeds up to 10 mph and gusts mainly under 25 mph.
Temperatures will be well above average again today, with highs mostly in the upper 60s and around 70 degrees, similar to yesterday.
Tonight, the moisture will settle in again, clouds will thicken, and the process will repeat itself. Overall, tonight will be very similar to last night, with plenty of clouds and warm temperatures.
The wind will turn due south Wednesday morning and increase to 10-15 mph. This slight shift will take the wind off the Atlantic Ocean, which means the morning clouds should break up sooner tomorrow. The best chance for sun will come during the midday period.
High temperatures will again push to within a couple degrees on either side of 70 degrees.
Clouds will re-thicken in the afternoon and scattered showers will move in from the west. These will be associated with a cold front, but the best support for rain will stay to our west and north. Most areas should still see a few drips of afternoon rain.
Wednesday night, winds will turn clockwise and end up out of the northwest by midnight. Wind speeds will remain blustery at 10-15 mph, bringing an end to the high temperatures.
Cooler, but not Cold
Northwest winds will persist throughout Thursday but will gradually lose steam. Wind speeds in the morning will be around 10 mph, and during the afternoon will drop further.
The day will start out cloudy, but sunshine will gradually increase throughout the day. No precipitation is expected outside of a stray shower or bit of drizzle early on.
Afternoon highs will be closer to average and around fifteen degrees cooler than the rest of the week. Look for low and mid 50s Thursday afternoon.
Skies will be mostly clear Thursday night with a light north or northeast wind. Widespread temperatures in the 30s are expected, which is typical for late October. As usual, elevation differences will lead to variations in the temperature.
A batch of thin clouds is expected to move in early Friday and will take much of the day to move along. No precipitation is expected with the clouds, and some sunshine may be able to filter through. Light north and northeast winds at under 5 mph will persist. High temperatures will be similar to Thursday in the low and mid 50s.
The weekend once again is looking dry and sunny, as has been the case for most of autumn. Saturday will have full sunshine throughout the day with highs nudging upward to the upper 50s. Sunday will be a bit warmer yet, with many areas at or above 60 degrees.
Clouds will increase on Sunday as the next weather system approaches. This could spread some rain into the area for Halloween on Monday, but it is far too early to speculate on the details.
After that early week system, the rest of next week looks primarily dry with daily temperatures mostly above 55 degrees. Unsettled weather looks like for the following weekend or early in the following week.
More Information:
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This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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James Hamilton
Those “log clouds” in third sentence: a typo? Or what I call tube clouds, ie. the low ground fog clouds in creek valleys that look like logs hanging over the water?
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Should be “low” clouds.