Pleasant weather persists through Thursday before rain moves in Friday

finger lakes weather forecast wednesday november 23 2022 sunny mild thanksgiving rain black friday
After sun-filled skies today, Thanksgiving will see temperatures around 50 degrees. Rain moves in Friday and again Sunday. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Sunny Today, Mild Thanksgiving

High pressure to our south will continue to keep the weather quiet and pleasant through the day tomorrow.

Skies are clear across the region this morning, but a slight southerly flow has kept temperatures from free-falling. Most areas starting out today between 25-30 degrees.

Clear, sunny skies are expected for much of the day today. A few passing clouds may drift through during the mid to late afternoon. No rain or snow will fall from any of these clouds, and the sun will probably still be able to shine at least a little through them.

High temperatures this afternoon will make it into the mid and perhaps upper 40s. Nighttime temperatures will fall back into the 20s and low 30s. With calm winds and clear skies, the temperature will be highly influenced by topography.

Thanksgiving morning tomorrow will dawn sunny, but a deck of thin overcast will build in during the mid to late morning. The clouds may block out most of the sun for a time but should break up somewhat in the afternoon. The sun should peek in and out of the clouds to varying degrees.

A steady south wind will blow at around or just over 5 mph. Warmer air will move in on these winds, pushing highs in the upper 40s and low 50s. Most areas that are not considered higher elevations should be at least around 50 degrees.

The south winds will increase to around 10 mph Thursday night. With more clouds moving in, temperatures will hold in the mid 30s and upper 30s, or even low 40s.

finger lakes weather forecast wednesday november 23 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Trio of Rain Events

The first in a series of three rain events will move in during the predawn hours Friday morning. Temperatures will be warm enough that snow should not be a concern for early morning bargain shoppers.

The rain will fall steadily through the morning and into the early afternoon before tapering off. Most of the rain should be light, with rainfall amounts only around a quarter of an inch.

Northwest winds will increase Friday afternoon with speeds of 10-15 mph and gusts to 30 mph. The rain and winds will hold temperatures to the mid 40s.

A few lake effect showers and higher elevation flurries will be possible Friday night southeast of Lake Ontario. No snow accumulation is expected with temperatures remaining in the mid 30s. Any lake effect should dissipate very early Saturday, possibly before sunrise.

Saturday will then turn out to be a nice day with ample sunshine and highs again pushing towards 50 degrees. Nighttime temperatures will be in the upper 30s as winds turn to the south and increase, and clouds roll in from the southwest.

The second rain maker will be in the area for most of Sunday. The rain should begin near or shortly after sunrise and will persist well into the afternoon. This rain should be more productive than Friday’s, with rainfall amounts closer to a half-inch and locally higher.

Accompanying the rain will be some gusty winds. Through the morning, winds will be from the south, but will turn to the southwest in the afternoon. Locally, gusts could approach 40 mph.

A few showers may linger early Monday before dry conditions take over for most of the day and into Tuesday. Rain will return on Wednesday with rainfall amounts probably ending up between Friday’s and Sunday’s.

Temperatures should remain warm enough that snow will not be any real concern until we head into early December.

Happy Thanksgiving

I hope you have a blessed and happy Thanksgiving. I am very grateful for all you do to support Finger Lakes Weather. It means a great deal to me! Without the community that has sprung up around FLX Weather, none of this would be possible. Whether it is being a donor, supporting the calendar sales, sharing with family and friends, or just simply reading my forecasts, know that you are appreciated and important. Thank you!

I will not have a new blog post on Thursday, but the 7-day and zip-code forecasts on the website and app will be updated. I will have a new post at the usual time Friday morning.

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finger lakes weather forecast wednesday november 23 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

  1. Kelly Doolittle

    Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours, Drew! We are grateful for you, too 🙂