Cold to Mild
The Arctic airmass that moved in over the weekend is losing its grip on our region.
It remains chilly out this morning, but nothing too abnormal for late December. Temperatures mostly range from the upper 10s to the mid 20s.
A small disturbance is bringing some sporadic flurries to the area this morning. Much of what is showing on radar may not be reaching the ground, but there are a few lazily falling snowflakes outside my window this morning.
These light snow showers will continue for a few hours this morning before ending. Nothing more than a light dusting of fluffy flakes will accumulate, and even that will only be in sporadic areas.
It will remain mostly cloudy throughout the day. Any glimpses of sunshine will be brief and rare.
Winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph. Temperatures will range from the mid 20s to near 30 degrees. The temperature will make a quick dip into the mid and upper 10s and low 20s this evening. Then, winds will turn more southerly and warmer air will start to move in.
By Wednesday morning, temperatures will have risen back to the same range as this afternoon, from the mid 20s to about 30 degrees.
Skies will continue to be mostly cloudy through tonight and for much of Wednesday, but the steady south wind will continue to push warm air into the region.
Not only will temperatures rise above freezing for the first time since last Friday’s intense cold front, but many areas will be at or slightly above 40 degrees on Wednesday. Higher elevations will stick to the upper 30s.
South winds and cloudy skies will remain Wednesday night, keeping temperatures up. While pockets of mid 20s are possible in the Southern Tier and Central New York, most of the region will be around or slightly above 30 degrees.
Warm, Wet Weekend
The best chance for sunshine in the coming days will be on Thursday. There will still be some clouds, too, but much of the day will be at least partially to fully sunny.
The wind will weaken and turn a bit more southwesterly. Temperatures will add a few degrees onto Wednesday, with most areas in the mid 40s. A few of the typically warmer locations across the northern Finger Lakes could flirt with 50 degrees.
Clouds will build in late Thursday and become thick Thursday night. Temperatures will remain elevated with overnight lows ranging from the mid 30s to the low 40s.
A few rain showers will dot the region on Friday as more areas reach, or nose above, 50 degrees. Winds will remain out of the south and southwest with speeds around 10 mph.
Saturday has the best upcoming chance for rain. Steady rain is possible, especially later in the day, through New Year’s Eve, and into the first hours of 2023. Early estimations of rainfall amounts have most areas between one-quarter and one-half of an inch.
Temperatures on Saturday will not be quite as warm with the rain, but still well above average in the mid 40s. Mid 40s are also expected on Sunday with lingering rain showers.
Monday looks cloudy, perhaps with a few spits of rain or early flurries, with highs in the low 40s. Another rain-maker is likely towards the middle of next week, with near-average temperatures in the 30s more likely behind that system.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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