Behind the Nor’easter
Low pressure off the coast of Massachusetts is slowly drifting out to sea this morning.
Only a few stray flurries east of Cayuga Lake remain this morning, while the western half of the region is starting the day with clear skies.
Through the morning hours, the clearing will press eastward, and most areas should be seeing sunshine by the midday hours.
Blustery northwest winds will continue to blow despite the sunshine. Gusts will be strongest this morning and could approach 40 mph for areas east of about Seneca Lake. To the west, gusts will be up to 25 mph.
Wind gusts this afternoon will slowly decrease, but will still commonly be in the 25-35 mph range.
The wind will continue to cause areas of blowing and drifting snow. Locally poor road conditions will result, but outside of the drifting, roads should be clear thanks to the sunshine and temperatures rising into the mid 30s.
Winds will finally decrease substantially tonight as they turn to the west, then southwest.
Clear skies will persist into the evening hours, allowing temperatures to fall into the upper 10s and low 20s with some colder pockets. Clouds will increase after midnight, and with the shift in the wind to the southwest, will prevent temperatures from falling further.
Southwest winds will be steady but light throughout Thursday with speeds just over 5 mph and gusts no higher than 20 mph.
Skies will be a mix of clouds and some breaks of sun. Any sunshine will only help temperatures along further, with highs expected to reach the mid and even upper 40s tomorrow.
Rain, Snow Showers, More Sun
On Friday, an area of low pressure will pass through the Upper Great Lakes and into eastern Canada. This weather system will bring us a couple of chances for rain.
The first shot of rain will be late Thursday night or early Friday as a warm front moves through. Temperatures are expected to be in the mid and upper 30s at the surface, and above freezing aloft, so everything that falls should do so as rain.
Another batch of rain will be possible later Friday into Friday evening as a cold front moves through.
Most areas are looking at a quarter to perhaps a half inch of rainfall, which should not raise any flooding concerns, even with the snowmelt. Highs Friday will mostly be in the upper 40s.
Cooler air will move back in Friday night into the weekend. Highs on Saturday will be in the mid 30s with a few stray flurries early in the day, and a better chance for some scattered snow showers late.
Snow showers will remain possible into early Sunday. Accumulations will be hard to come by. Highs will stick to the low 30s after a start in the 10s and low 20s.
Monday will also start in the 10s and low 20s, but highs will break back into the low 40s with a mix of sun and clouds. Tuesday will add on a couple more degrees with more sun and clouds.
There is a very small chance for a weather system toward the middle of next week, but models are moving away from this and favoring continued dry, mild weather. There will be a better chance for precipitation towards next weekend.
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Snow should be measured in an area not affected by wind or abnormal melting. Do not measure on pavement. For best results, take 3-5 measurements in different locations and use the average.
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This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.