Above Average Temperatures
An area of low pressure is passing over the Finger Lakes this morning.
Precipitation out ahead of the low has already moved out of the area, but there is still plenty of cloud cover throughout the region thanks to a secondary low over the northern Great Lakes. A stray shower cannot be ruled out today, but the majority of the area should remain dry from here on out. The best chance for a few glimpses of sunshine will be later in the afternoon.
Winds will turn to the west and just north of west this morning and persist through the afternoon. Wind speeds will be around 10 mph with gusts mainly staying under 30 mph.
Winds will turn to the southwest tonight with skies becoming partly cloudy for a time this evening. New clouds will stream in after midnight. The wind and clouds should hold nighttime temperatures near or slightly under 40 degrees.
Friday will not be quite as warm as today, but still slightly above the seasonal averages. High temperatures will be near or a bit on either side of 50 degrees.
There should be more breaks in the clouds on Friday than today, especially in the afternoon hours.
Winds will turn back to the west and just north of west with steady speeds at or above 10 mph. Most gusts should stay near or below 30 mph, but a few localized gusts could exceed 30 mph.
Friday night, a subtle cold front will drop south through the region. A few showers or flurries will be possible along the front, followed by some lake effect showers and flurries which will linger into Saturday morning.
Chilly Weekend, Then More Mild Weather
Saturday morning will start out with temperatures in the mid 30s. Northwest winds and frequent cloud cover will prevent temperatures from rising much. Expect afternoon highs ranging from the upper 30s to low 40s.
Cloud cover should at least partially break up Saturday night and winds will become light as high pressure moves in overhead.
This will lead to a chilly night with lows by Sunday morning mainly in the mid and upper 20s.
Light winds and some sunshine will help temperatures recover from the cool start on Sunday, but temperatures will not get any higher than they were on Saturday. Afternoon highs should again be in the upper 30s and low 40s.
High pressure will deliver another ideal night for cooling Sunday night, and temperatures should drop a few degrees further. Lows Monday morning will be in the mid 20s for all but immediate lakeshore locations.
However, the high will then pass to the east, and south winds will take over on its backside. With lots of sunshine, these winds should boost temperatures to the upper 40s Monday afternoon.
A small disturbance may bring a few showers on Tuesday, but this remains an iffy proposition this far in advance, and it very well may stay dry.
Temperatures may retreat a few degrees on Tuesday if it rains but will otherwise continue to rise. Highs on Wednesday should be around 50 degrees with mid 50s possible toward the end of the week.
Rain chances will remain low throughout next week but will begin to rise towards next weekend. An unsettled pattern looks favored thereafter as we head towards Thanksgiving week. The spread on the models in temperature is too great to identify any discernible pattern, however.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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