No Foolin’: Prolonged storm system brings rain, high winds, even snow throughout this week

finger lakes weather forecast monday april 1 2024 cloudy rain wind snow
Today will be the only dry day this week as a prolonged storm system impacts the area Tuesday through Saturday with a variety of meaningful impacts. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Early Week Weather

A frontal boundary to our south stretches from the middle of the nation, through the Ohio Valley, and into Mid-Atlantic.

An area of low pressure is developing along the front over Kansas this morning and will become an important player in our weather.

For today, the front will be far enough south that precipitation is not expected in our region. However, it will also be close enough to keep our skies mostly cloudy. The further north, the better the chance for a few glimpses of sun, but all in all, it will be a cloudy day.

Temperatures will rise into the low and mid 50s this afternoon. A few higher elevations will stick to the upper 40s. This will be the warmest it gets this week, as well as the only dry day.

As the low tracks along the front, it will cause the front to lift northward. Rain showers should start to enter our region after midnight and will slowly increase through Tuesday morning. By the afternoon, rain should be widespread and steady, with a few heavier downpours later in the afternoon.

Winds will be from the southeast, increasing to near 10 mph during the afternoon. High temperatures will generally be in the mid 40s.

The wind will continue to increase through Tuesday night, becoming strong on Wednesday. Top gusts are still a bit uncertain, but should at least be over 40 mph if not over 50 mph.

The rain may let up for a time early Wednesday morning, only to increase again for much of the day. Some of the rain on Wednesday may be particularly heavy, and there is even potential for a squall line of heavy rain, wind, and a few rumbles of thunder that will need to be monitored.

By Wednesday evening, rain amounts of 1-2 inches are likely but with locally higher amounts possible.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast mon apr 1 | mon, mostly cloudy low 50 | tues, periods of rain mid 40 | wed, windy rain night snow mid 40 | thur, rain and snow showers near 40 | fri, rain and snow showers near 40 | sat, rain and snow showers low 40 | sun, mostly sunny low 50
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Late Week Weather

On Wednesday, the first low will stall out over Michigan and begin to transfer its energy to a new low off the Mid-Atlantic coast. This low will hug the coast and meander northeastward, ending up near Boston Thursday afternoon. The low will stall out and slowly weaken, not moving much until Saturday afternoon.

As the low strengthens and moves to a position near New York City Wednesday night, cold air will be pulled south into the Finger Lakes, changing rain over to snow.

A period of steady moderate snow looks possible Wednesday Night into early Thursday. Temperatures will only make it down to near freezing, so the snow may have a hard time accumulating. Whatever does accumulation will be a heavy-in-weight, slushy snowfall.

Snow accumulations will likely be highly elevation dependent, with lower elevations seeing a coating to perhaps an inch, while several inches will fall in higher elevations, especially east of Cayuga Lake.

Rain and snow showers will continue throughout Thursday, Friday, and even into Saturday. During the daytime hours, the snow will not accumulate. Little to no accumulation is expected during Thursday and Friday night.

Daytime highs will be around 40 degrees Thursday and Friday with low 40s on Saturday.

High pressure will finally move in and kick the unsettled weather out on Sunday, leaving sun-filled skies. Temperatures should rebound to the low 50s.

Next Monday is the eclipse and the overall weather pattern looks favorable with high pressure overhead. There may be some passing thin clouds high in the atmosphere to contend with, but as of now, it looks like the weather is getting all of its thick, sun-blocking clouds out of its system this week.

Next week will also turn significantly warmer with daily highs at least in the 60s.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast mon apr 1 | mon, mostly cloudy low 50 | tues, periods of rain mid 40 | wed, windy rain night snow mid 40 | thur, rain and snow showers near 40 | fri, rain and snow showers near 40 | sat, rain and snow showers low 40 | sun, mostly sunny low 50
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.