Sunshine mixes in today before rainy Friday

finger lakes weather forecast thursday may 6 2021 sun clouds rainy friday chilly
Sunshine will make an appearance today, but temperatures will remain cool. Another rainy day is ahead for Friday, with showers lingering into Saturday. [Photo by Meteorologist Drew Montreuil]

Next Weather System

Today will be spent between weather systems, allowing some sunshine to return to the Finger Lakes.

Skies are mixed across the region to start off the day. Many areas have cleared out and are sunny, but higher elevations in particular are still holding onto some clouds this morning.

It may take some time this morning to erode the clouds that exist, but everyone should get into the sunshine eventually by the late morning or midday hours.

Thin clouds high in the atmosphere will be streaming in from the southwest ahead of the next system by the early afternoon. These will not block the sunshine, but will help filter it.

Northwest winds will blow at 5-10 mph with gusts of 20-30 mph. Generally , the winds will be the on high side of these ranges to the east and the low side to the west.

The wind will ensure temperatures do not rise too far today, with highs ending up about ten degrees below the seasonal averages. Most areas will reach the mid 50s, but some higher elevations may stick to the low 50s.

Evening skies will remain partly cloudy, allowing temperatures to slip back into the mid and upper 30s. The clouds will thicken further overnight and winds will turn to the southeast. Temperatures will mostly hold steady through the overnight.

Low pressure will meander into the region tomorrow morning from the southwest. By the evening, the low will only have made it to northeastern Pennsylvania.

Rain will slowly spread across the region from west to east Friday morning and into the early afternoon. It will then rain steadily across most of the area throughout the afternoon and into the evening. Through Friday night, the rain will pivot eastward, but still may be across eastern portions of the area at sunrise Saturday.

There is still a small chance for some nighttime snow to mix in over higher elevations, with no more than a coating of accumulation locally.

Depending on the movement of the rain, precipitation totals could exceed an inch. This is more likely for the eastern third of the Finger Lakes.

Temperatures Friday while it is raining will be in the 40s. However, eastern areas could sneak into the 50s during the latter part of the morning before the rain arrives in those areas.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday may 6 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Weekend Weather and Beyond

Even as the steady precipitation moves east and or dissipates early Saturday, on and off showers will still be possible throughout the day. This will especially be the case if any sunshine makes a brief appearance. With cool air aloft, any surface heating will help pop-up some scattered showers.

High temperatures on Saturday will be close to 50. The Rochester area may reach the mid 50s, while the hills of Central New York will be in the upper or even mid 40s.

Sunday looks dry but cloudy as another low pressure system approaches from the south. No rain is expected during the daytime hours. Highs will reach the mid 50s throughout the region with light west winds.

Rain will eventually move in though, most likely after midnight Sunday night. This will set up a soggy Monday morning. Early indications are for rain amounts around a half-inch, but if the low tracks a bit further north, higher amounts will be possible.

Monday will turn dry for the afternoon, and some sun may even work out before the day is done. Temperatures will take a step back again, with highs mostly near or just above 50 degrees.

Tuesday and Wednesday look dry before another system brings more rain in for Thursday. Wednesday is our best shot at seeing temperatures reach the mid and upper 50s.

Warmer weather will not start to return until next weekend at the earliest. It very well may be that we do not reach the 60s until the following week, though.

Throughout this chilly pattern, overnight lows should mostly stay above freezing, but frost may be a concern in some colder pockets, or if we get a night of clear skies and light winds.

More Information:

» Finger Lakes Weather Radar

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday may 6 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys and also run a goat milk soap business, Ye Olde Goat Cart. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.