Smoke and a few storms headline the weather this week

finger lakes weather forecast monday july 26 2021 sun clouds smoke air quality
Periods of smoke will filter the sunshine early this week before more active weather settles in with a number of cold fronts moving through. [Photo by Meteorologist Drew Montreuil]

Smokey Start

Monday and most of Tuesday will get the week off to a quiet yet smokey start as more wildfire smoke from Canada drifts into the region.

The intensity of the smoke plume will vary from time to time and place to place but should be noticeable in the sky and at the surface much of the time. Hazy skies are likely, and air quality will be slightly reduced.

Otherwise, today will be a quiet day with some fair weather clouds mixing in. A stray shower cannot be totally ruled out, but most if not all the region will ultimately stay dry.

Temperatures will be in the same neighborhood as the last couple days with highs mostly in the low and mid 80s but not higher than about 85 degrees. Dewpoints will mostly be comfortably restricted to the 50s today.

Clear but smokey skies are expected overnight while a light southwest wind keeps temperatures in the mid 60s.

Much of Tuesday will be more of the same. The smoke may be thicker tomorrow than today as a cold front approaches from the northwest. Ahead of the front, highs will reach the low and mid 80s once more and dewpoints will increase to the mid 60s during the afternoon.

During the latter half of the afternoon and the early evening, scattered showers and thunderstorms will pop-up ahead of the front. The threat for severe weather and flooding appears to be low, though some brief downpours and gusty winds will remain a possibility.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday july 26 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Late Week Weather

Clouds and showers will linger around into Wednesday morning as the front takes its time moving through. Most of the rain should be done by noon Wednesday and skies will become increasingly sunny through the afternoon.

Light northwest winds will bring in cooler air with highs topping out in the mid 70s. Smoke will continue to be possible, though it is too early to say to what extent.

Another front will push into the region on Thursday. Showers and storms should once again develop, especially during the afternoon hours.

The winds aloft look more favorable for severe weather, but the timing of the front may limit the amount of energy the storms can tap into, in turn limiting their strength. This is still several days out, though, so confidence is lower, and it will be something to watch.

Friday will be similar to Wednesday, with morning showers giving way to increasing sunshine.

Temperatures will be on the cooler side afternoon highs around 70 degrees and nighttime temperatures falling to the low 50s.

Saturday looks dry with sun and clouds. Temperatures will remain depressed with highs again around 70.

Another front will come into the area on Sunday, possibly bringing some showers and storms for the first day of August. Temperatures will get a bump upward ahead of the front, but will retreat once again for the start of next week.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday july 26 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys and also run a goat milk soap business, Ye Olde Goat Cart. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

4 Responses

  1. john
    |

    Drew:

    Ok. Thanks.

    If anything jumps out at you in the next 48 hours or so 9significant changes either way), please post it. I will be checking.

    John B.

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
      |

      I’ll keep an eye out!

  2. john
    |

    Drew:

    I completely understand that you are a busy man and have many other responsibilities other than the great blog that you provide. However, I need to ask you a favor.

    My family and I have a vacation planned Aug 3rd to Aug 8th. This is our one and only opportunity to get away this summer. We are planning to spend that time up on the St. Lawrence River, however, the WC 10 day forecast has at least some rain almost every day during that stretch. I realize that extended forecasts often change being this far out, but their outlook has been consistent for several days. I’m assuming that a pattern will be established and the rain and storms will be prevalent next week.

    We have an option of going to Cape Cod during that same time period. The extended forecast for that area looks better. However, we have to change our arrangements within the next day or two.

    If you don’t mind….can you put yourself in my shoes for next week…is the weather in Cape Cod (Hyannis) likely to be a better bet than the weather in the Alexandria Bay/Clayton area Aug 3-8?

    I certainly appreciate any direction that you can give me on this. We are really looking forward to the time away, but we want decent weather since this is our one chance to spend time together.

    Thanks so much.

    John B. in Syracuse

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
      |

      Hi John! Glad to help you as much as I can. From what I can see this far out, Cape Cod does seem to have less of a chance for rainy days than the St. Lawrence River area. Neither area looks too bad though…probably just some afternoon showers/storms from time to time.