After getting off to a rather soggy start Sunday, the first week of August will turn quiet as high pressure takes over.
Skies across the northern Finger Lakes have already cleared this morning, but clouds are hanging tough across the southern half of the region. A couple isolated spits of rain are even showing up on radar still.
The showers will quickly dissipate this morning and the clouds will gradually erode away as well. By the midday and afternoon hours, the thick low clouds will be replaced by scattered small fair-weather clouds.
A steady northwest wind will develop in the wake of the cold front that moved through overnight. Wind speeds will be near 10 mph with gusts of 20-25 mph.
These winds will keep a steady supply of cool air moving into the region. Highs today will be in the low 70s. A few higher elevations of the western Southern Tier and Central New York may not quite make it to 70 degrees.
Skies will clear this evening and winds will drop, setting up a cool night. Areas near the lakes will fall into the mid 50s, while overnight lows will be near or even below 50 degrees throughout the southern half of the region away from the lakes and cities.
Tuesday will be a typical summer day with sunshine early and fair-weather clouds throughout much of the day. Additionally, some thin clouds will also move in from the southeast, especially for areas east of Seneca Lake.
Winds will be light from the southwest and west, allowing highs to jump to the mid and upper 70s. Skies will clear by evening and temperatures will slide back into the mid and upper 50s.
Late Week Weather
On Wednesday, a subtle impulse of energy will move into the region from the south. For the most part, this will not do much. The daily fair weather clouds may be more numerous and grow a bit larger than the previous days.
A few stray showers may manage to develop late in the day. Most areas will probably stay dry though. The showers that do develop may be slow moving, so where it does rain, it may not just be a brief, 10-minute shower.
Highs on Wednesday will be around 80 degrees with very light south-southeast winds.
Thursday looks to be dry once again with another mix of sun and clouds and light winds. Temperatures will continue to increase with highs reaching the low 80s.
The best chance for rain this week will come Friday and Saturday, though the details this far in advance are sketchy.
Low pressure is expected to move along the Atlantic Coast Thursday night into Friday and may be able to spread some showers back into the Finger Lakes during the nighttime and early day hours. Some moisture left behind may then trigger a few scattered afternoon showers, too.
Another system will be possible on Saturday, this time with a more direct approach. Afternoon showers and storms will be possible. The timing and track of this system will ultimately determine what we see Saturday.
Temperatures both Friday and Saturday will depend on the cloud cover and extent of the rain, but highs near or a bit above 80 seem likely.
The weather next week is less certain to be dry. Heat and humidity will increase, leading to the chance for afternoon showers and storms. It is too early to pinpoint which day or days will have the best chance for rain.
Highs next week should be well into the 80s with a couple days at or above 90 a reasonable possibility.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.