Breezy and chilly with snow showers Thursday

finger lakes weather forecast thursday march 3 2022 lake effect snow windy blowing snow
Locally an inch or two may fall today, though it will be hard to tell thanks to gusty winds producing blowing and drifting snow. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Wintry Weather

An area of low pressure moved through the region last night with widespread snow.

Now, in its wake, lake effect snow showers have developed on increasing northwest winds.

The lake effect will be most plentiful this morning and will gradually wind itself down this afternoon as high pressure slides in. Locally, another couple inches could fall, including in and around Ithaca, where some enhancement off Cayuga Lake is possible.

Winds will top out with gusts around 30 mph throughout the day. Areas of blowing and drifting snow are likely to cause minor travel problems.

Temperatures will only gain a few degrees today with highs in the low and mid 20s.

As high pressure builds in late this afternoon and early this evening, skies will clear and winds will diminish. Temperatures will fall as a result, with terrain-dependent overnight lows. Near-lake areas may stay between 5 and 10 degrees, while some of the typically colder pockets may slip below zero.

Friday will have lots of sunshine and some occasional thin clouds. Clouds will become more plentiful late in the day.

Winds will be from the southwest early with speeds under 5 mph. During the afternoon, winds will turn more westerly with a slight increase.

Temperatures Friday will be close to the seasonal averages, topping out in the mid 30s.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday march 3 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Warm Weekend, then a Monday Mystery

By Saturday morning, winds will turn to the south. Temperatures will start the day around 20, though much of Friday night will be in the 10s.

A warm front will lift through the region during the day Saturday. A few spits of rain, or even a flurry, will be possible. Most areas will not see any appreciable precipitation, though.

Southerly winds will increase to around 10 mph, helping temperatures reach the mid 40s throughout most of the region. After a brief drip back to the upper 30s Saturday evening, temperatures will warm overnight as south winds increase.

By Sunday morning, most of the region will be back into the mid 40s, but areas near and west of I-390 may be pushing into the 50s already.

Despite some occasional rain showers, temperatures Sunday should soar. Most areas should push above 65 degrees, and a few places hitting 70 is not totally out of the realm of possibility. It will be windy as well, with frequent gusts of 35-45 mph.

Winds will turn to the west during the afternoon as a cold front slides into the area. Immediately following the front, winds may be even stronger, with gusts of 50 mph possible, especially over western areas.

Temperatures will fall into the 50s for areas that see the front pass through during the day. By midnight, widespread 30s are likely in the area, with lows Monday morning in the low 30s.

Low pressure will track along the front on Monday, likely spreading precipitation back into the area. This precipitation may come down hard but there is a high amount of uncertainty on the precipitation type.

At this time, rain or a wintry mix is a slightly more likely scenario than an all snow scenario. Whether snow, ice, or flooding, some degree of hazard is possible Monday, so keep checking back for details through the weekend.

Snow showers will be likely behind this system on Tuesday, with another potential for significant precipitation of some type late next week. Temperatures look as though they will be around the seasonal averages, with nothing too cold or too warm showing on the models at this time.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday march 3 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

4 Responses

  1. Frances Nierenberg
    |

    thank you for your report. We live down on Long Island but our son moved up to Skaneateles, and I’m finding your reports are always the most accurate and easiest to read. I’ve downloaded the FLX app as well.

  2. Susan Sarabasha
    |

    Tupper Rd Hill got a bit under 2” overnight.

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
      |

      Thanks for the report!

      • Susan S
        |

        Really coming down now. BIG flakes.