Rain and Snow Showers
As quickly as warm air built into the region Wednesday night and Thursday, it is gone again following a cold front last night.
Low pressure is centered north of New England and will continue to push colder air into the region. Temperatures this morning are mostly starting out in the upper 30s. High temperatures will only be a couple of degrees warmer later this morning or early this afternoon.
A second cold front will arrive during the midday hours. Winds will turn from the west this morning to the northwest this afternoon while increasing speeds. Gusts of 30-40 mph will be commonplace this afternoon.
Rain showers will move in with the front. As temperatures fall back into the 30s this afternoon, most of the rain should turn to snow. Some limited accumulations on grassy and elevated surfaces will be possible. Roads should mainly be just wet.
Lake effect snow showers will take over late in the afternoon and continue into the evening before tapering off. A few flurries may linger over Cayuga, Cortland, and Onondaga counties through the overnight with an inch or two of accumulation.
Skies will clear outside of the lake effect overnight with temperatures falling to the mid 20s. Saturday will be a quieter day with morning sunshine, some afternoon clouds, and light northwest winds. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 40s.
Another low pressure will cause Sunday to turn out like to today. Snow showers will move in before dawn and continue through the morning. Eventually, the snow will mix with rain as temperatures warm to near 40 degrees. Snow accumulations should be limited to an early morning coating. A few rain and snow showers may linger as late as Sunday evening.
A Bit Warmer
The forecast for Monday is a little uncertain due to inconsistency in the model projections. At this time, it looks like a cloudy but primarily dry day. Morning temperatures are expected to be in the mid 30s with afternoon highs around 50 degrees.
Some rain showers will be possible Monday night into Tuesday. A few higher elevation snowflakes during the overnight cannot be ruled out.
Most of the rain on Tuesday will be light and showery, especially coming during the morning hours. Like Monday, though, there is some uncertainty.
Temperatures on Tuesday should work their way into the mid 50s.
Forecast confidence continues to decrease toward the middle of next week. More rain showers will be possible as a parade of weather systems moves through. Wednesday has the best chance at being particularly warm, but at this point, projecting mid 50s for highs makes the most sense.
Thursday may turn out to be rather rainy with highs around 50. Rain showers would persist into Friday with similar temperatures.
There may be a small dip in temperatures next weekend behind the late week system, but the chances for warm weather will increase the following week.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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