Warm Weather Ahead
A cold front is moving through the Finger Lakes this morning with some early rain.
As of 7:30 AM, most of the rain is pushing east and will shortly exit the area. Not far behind the rain, skies are clearing.
Once the sun comes out behind the front, it will remain out for the rest of the day. Only some thin clouds late this afternoon will work in, but they should not block much sun before it sets.
Northwest winds will set up behind the front with speeds of 5-10 mph. These winds will prevent temperatures from rising too far, but it will not be a cool day compared to some of our recent weather.
Most areas should top out just above 60 degrees this afternoon. A few mid 60s will be possible from Corning to Binghamton, while a few higher elevations, and areas along the shore of Lake Ontario, will top out in the mid 50s.
Clouds will thicken overnight, and a few scattered showers will move in during the predawn and early morning hours. A few rumbles of thunder are not out of the question. The sun will again come out after the early morning showers.
The clouds and showers will be associated with a warm front that will move through early in the day. Behind the front, winds will turn to the south, then southwest on Wednesday with speeds near or over 10 mph.
Temperatures will soar with many areas seeing their warmest day yet in 2022. Widespread mid and upper 70s are likely and several localized areas will probably hit 80 degrees.
Dewpoints will rise to modest levels in the mid and upper 50s, which may be enough to pop a couple late day thunderstorms as an impulse of atmospheric energy moves through.
There will be enough wind energy available for a couple of stronger storms to be possible, but getting the storms to develop in the first place will be challenging. Any severe thunderstorm coverage tomorrow will be limited and very localized.
Periods of clouds and continued south winds will keep temperatures well into the 50s through Wednesday night. Temperatures will quickly warm back into the 70s Thursday during the morning hours.
Getting Chilly Again
A cold front will move through during the midday hours on Thursday. Showers will develop over the region as the front moves through, but thunderstorms are looking less and less likely. Following the frontal passage, temperatures will drop to the upper 50s or low 60s for much of Thursday afternoon.
West and northwest winds will blow at 10-15 mph behind the front. Top gusts of 30-40 mph will be possible, with the strongest winds west of Canandaigua Lakes.
Winds will turn back to the south for Friday with blustery speeds around 15 mph. Gusts will again be in the 30-40 mph range.
Highs should reach the mid 60s before another cold front moves through late with a few showers. Temperatures will fall to near 40 degrees overnight with highs reaching the upper 50s on Saturday.
Yet another cold front will move through late Saturday. A few showers may be possible, but most of the area looks dry at this time.
Blustery northwest winds will set up behind this front for Easter Sunday. Gusts will be around 30 mph much of the day, holding temperatures to the low 40s. Clouds are likely through the morning and into the afternoon. A few flurries cannot be ruled out, either. Some sun may work its way out before the end of the day.
A large weather system will likely move into the area early next week. This may hold off until Monday night and Tuesday. If so, Monday will be pleasant with highs around 50 degrees.
As the system moves in, periods of rain and snow will be likely. Snow will be most likely through the nighttime hours, and some slushy accumulation is not out of the question. Most of the daytime precipitation should be rain.
Cool, unsettled weather will persist throughout next week. There are signs that this will be only a temporary setback though, with warmer weather building back in for the following week to close out April.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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