A front will move through the area today with rain showers during the midday and afternoon hours.
There are some breaks in the clouds ahead of the front this morning, but mostly, clouds will rule the day.
South winds developed last night and will continue much of the day. The wind will be blustery, especially over higher elevations where gusts could be as high as 35 mph.
The south winds will overcome the lack of sunshine to help temperatures into the low and mid 50s, which is close to the seasonal average, but still a couple degrees short.
The rain showers will move in during the midday hours from west to east and will continue into the mid and late afternoon. The rain will be off and on and light. Most areas should see around or under a tenth of an inch. Flooding will not be a concern.
An additional shower cannot be ruled out this evening as the front itself finally moves through. Winds will turn to the northwest overnight and remain through Friday. However, there will be a noticeable lack of cold air behind this front.
Overnight temperatures will slide back into the upper 30s, while daytime highs on Friday will be right back into the mid 50s.
The weather will be quiet on Friday with a good deal of sunshine. During the afternoon especially, some thin clouds will attempt to push in from the southwest. Northern and eastern areas may stay mostly sunny through sunset, while southern and western areas will transition to filtered sunshine. Exactly how far into the region, and how quickly, the clouds will come, is uncertain.
The clouds may not make much additional progress Friday night, allowing temperatures to slip back into the mid 30s overnight.
Weekend Warm-Up, More Cold to Follow
By Saturday, skies should be turning mostly cloudy as warmer air pushes into the region. A few stray showers cannot be ruled out, but most areas will stay dry. Those that see rain will only see it for a brief period and most of the day will be rain-free.
Winds will turn back to the south but will not be strong. Top gusts Saturday will only be around 20 mph.
High temperatures should work their way into the low 60s. A few higher elevations and areas along the shore of Lake Ontario may stick to the upper 50s.
The sun will be out on Sunday as south winds pump warm, if not hot, air into the region. Temperatures will be above 75 degrees throughout the region, and many areas will find themselves at or just above 80 degrees.
The average first 80-degree day in Ithaca is May 1st, so this is quite close to that average.
Monday will also be warm, but not as much so. Highs should still break into the 70s for most areas with a few locations making it to 75 degrees. Late in the day, rain and possibly some thunderstorms will move in along a cold front.
Tuesday will be cloudy. Some rain cannot be ruled out, though at this time the models show dry conditions. Temperatures will retreat to around 60 degrees.
Another front will move through Tuesday night or Wednesday, setting up rain and snow showers for Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures both days will struggle, and in some areas fail to reach 40 degrees.
A cool and unsettled pattern will take us into May next weekend with temperatures slowly crawling back into the 50s thereafter.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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