Hottest Day of the Week
High pressure is situated off the coast of New England, while a small low is located north of the Great Lakes.
Between these two pressure systems, southwest winds will increase across the Finger Lakes this morning, bringing in some hotter temperatures.
Wind speeds will increase to around 10 mph through the morning with gusts around 25 mph. These winds will persist into the afternoon hours.
Skies will be mostly sunny through the morning. This afternoon, a few small fair weather clouds will develop. Thin clouds higher in the atmosphere will also begin to move in, and may filter the sunshine at times, especially late in the afternoon.
Temperatures will be on the rise, but humidity will still be held in check. Dewpoints will make it into the 50s, but no higher. Afternoon high temperatures will mainly be in the upper 80s and low 90s.
Clouds will continue to increase tonight. Rain showers and a few thunderstorms will move in well after midnight and may linger into the first few hours after sunrise on Tuesday. Not all areas will see rain tonight or early tomorrow. As a general rule of thumb, the further north, the better the chance for rain.
There should be an overall lull in the activity during the mid and late morning hours, though a stray shower here or there cannot be ruled out.
By the early afternoon, the cold front will move through the region. A line of storms will try to develop along the front, but will be more of a threat for areas east of the Finger Lakes. Still, this line may start its lifecycle over the southeastern Finger Lakes, resulting in a narrow window for areas such as Bath, Elmira, Ithaca, and Cortland for a quick thunderstorm. If the storms develop quick enough, some gusty winds will be possible as the storms move through.
Outside of this line, only stray showers and maybe an isolated thunderstorm are expected Tuesday afternoon. A few showers and storms may continue to be possible into Tuesday evening.
Temperatures will start warm on Tuesday with morning lows from 65 to 70 degrees. Afternoon highs will make it to the low and mid 80s. Southwest winds of 10-15 mph early will eventually turn to the west, the northwest throughout the day.
Below Average Precipitation Continues
On Wednesday, a secondary front will move through the area. This will bring another chance for some showers and storms during the afternoon. It is questionable how many storms will develop, but the latter parts of the afternoon are favored for any rain showers.
It is highly likely that there will be pockets of the region that see very little to no rain between Tuesday and Wednesday. On the flip side, there will probably be very few places that see enough rain to make a sizeable dent in the overall dry conditions that have spread across the region.
Winds on Wednesday will be light with speeds around 5 mph. The wind direction will vary, shifting to the southwest for a brief time before heading back to the northwest. High temperatures will be around 80 degrees.
A few isolated showers will be possible on Thursday. These will be small, brief, and will bring little rain. Most areas will probably remain completely dry on Thursday. Temperatures will hold out in the upper 70s with overnight temperatures dipping back into the mid 50s.
Friday will be similar, with a mix of sun and clouds, no stray showers expected, and highs in the upper 70s.
Hotter weather will build back in next weekend with highs rising through the 80s. The weather pattern beyond the weekend will favor above average temperatures and there could be a couple of rather hot days mixed in.
Rainfall continues to look scarce, though there should be a couple chances for at least some scattered showers next week as humidity increases with the temperatures.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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