Widespread rain this morning with scattered showers, storms this afternoon

finger lakes weather forecast monday july 18 2022 rain showers thunderstorms
There will be other chances for rain this week, but none as widespread as today. [Photo by Joan Lockwood]


An area of low pressure located over Lake Erie this morning has brought widespread rain to the Finger Lakes region.

All of the area got rain overnight and steady rain continues early this morning, especially for the northern half of the region. For the southern half of the region, the rain is a bit more broken up, but still spread throughout the area.

As the low tracks northeast toward Lake Ontario, the steadier rain will push northward as well, ending this morning. However, numerous scattered showers are expected to continue to develop throughout the later morning and afternoon hours.

Between the showers, a few breaks of sunshine may work out this afternoon. This will help temperatures to reach the upper 70s and low 80s, aided by a blustery southwest wind. That wind may gust to 30 mph with sustained wind speeds of 10-15 mph.

Any sunshine will help produce some late afternoon thunderstorms, a few of which could have some strong wind gusts. These thunderstorms will be hit or miss, so not all areas will see the storms.

Rainfall totals from last night through this evening will range from a few pockets of less than a half-inch to some localized areas of 1-2 inches. Most places should end up in the half to one inch range. While not a drought-busting rain, it is beneficial.

A few showers will linger into the evening hours before heading east and/or dissipating. By midnight, the area should be dry with skies clearing. Evening temperatures will be muggy around 70 degrees before overnight lows drop to the low and mid 60s.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecsat monday july 18 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Hot Week Ahead

After today, much of the week will be hot and muggy, with more chances for hit-or-miss thunderstorms.

Tuesday and Wednesday both look mostly, but not completely dry. On Tuesday, a few isolated showers may pop up late in the afternoon as a small impulse of energy moves through. A few more stray showers may be possible overnight.

Otherwise, expected sunshine early and a mix of sun and fair weather clouds during the late morning and afternoon hours.

Temperatures will come up on Tuesday with highs in the mid 80s with pockets of upper 80s.

The daytime hours Wednesday will be dry, though a few stray thunderstorms may be possible during the evening and overnight hours. Wednesday will be the hottest day of the week, with many areas at or above 90 degrees. Dewpoints will be in the 60s, so it will feel on the muggy side.

Temperatures will remain high Wednesday night, with overnight lows only reaching the low and mid 70s.

Given the warm overnight temperatures, Thursday will not see much upward movement thanks to showers and thunderstorms moving through the area. Expect highs mostly in the low 80s.

Most areas should see some rain on Thursday, but the heavier rains will be more isolated. At this point, the best chance for rain will be the mid morning through the early afternoon.

Friday may have a few stray afternoon showers and storms as well. Many areas will probably not see much, if any, rain on Friday. Highs will be back into the upper 80s.

Mid and upper 80s are possible for the weekend with more hit-or-miss showers and storms. Neither day looks like a washout. Sunday currently showers a better chance for rain than Saturday, but the details this far out are sketchy.

A warm to hot pattern should also continue into next week, with more hit-or-miss showers and storms throughout the week.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecsat monday july 18 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

  1. David Seager

    I’d love to know where the photo was taken. Such a pretty scene!