Heavy rain in southern FLX, showers further north

finger lakes weather forecast monday september 5 2022 heavy rain flash flood watch
As a general rule today, the further south you are, the longer and harder it will rain. [Photo by Meteorologist Drew Montreuil]

Labor Day Rain

Low pressure moving along a stalled-out frontal boundary will bring more rain into the Finger Lakes today, especially for the Southern Tier.

Widespread showers are across the region early Monday morning. On and off rain will continue through the morning with a few embedded downpours.

Gradually, the axis of the rain will shift southward this afternoon while downpours become more common. Locally heavy rain is expected across the southern Finger Lakes and especially the Southern Tier this afternoon. Further north, showers will be more sporadic and mainly light.

There is no dividing line between heavy rain and lighter showers. It will be a gradual, moving gradient. As such, pinpointing the exact weather at a given location and at a specific time is far beyond the possibility of this blog post. As a general rule, the further south you are, the longer and harder it will rain.

This evening, the rain will continue to move south and east, exiting most of the region. A few more downpours will be possible from about Bath eastward. Steuben, Chemung, and Tioga counties are under flash flood watches with locally over two inches of rain falling. Rain amounts will fall off to the north and west, but much of the Finger Lakes should see between one-quarter and three-quarters of additional rainfall.

Temperatures today will not move much, rising to a high in the upper 60s to near 70 degrees. After sunset, temperatures will slowly fall back towards the low 60s. Areas of fog will be possible tonight, especially where it rains hard.

Winds will be nearly calm today with the front nearby. What wind there is will come in with an easterly component, eventually ending up from the northeast as the front sinks further south.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday september 5 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

The Rest of the Week

While steady rain will move out of the picture as the low pressure departs, the frontal boundary will still be nearby into the middle of the week. That will keep some scattered showers in the forecast.

The best chance for showers will come tomorrow, Tuesday. Clouds will likely be thick throughout the day with occasional spits of light rain. It should be much less rainy than today, and individual showers should not last too long.

On Wednesday, the main chance for rain will be a few stray showers in the morning hours. Some sun will be possible later in the day. Thursday has the most uncertain rain chances with a few stray showers possible, but a dry day is also a possibility.

Temperatures will not rise much again tomorrow with highs hovering around 70 degrees. Wednesday should push into the low 70s, while mid 70s are more likely Thursday.

By Friday, highs should be near 80 degrees. Skies will be sunny, and rain is not expected. Much of Saturday looks ok, too, with some sun and highs around 80 degrees.

However, late in the day, another weather system will start to slowly approach from the west. This may bring in some showers before the day is done. Confidence is low in the timing of the rain this far out, though.

Rain chances will increase into Sunday and there is at least a chance for more widespread, heavy rain into early next week. Obviously, the confidence is low at this point. A generally unsettled weather pattern does look likely through the middle-third of the month, though.

More Information:

» Finger Lakes Weather Radar

» Finger Lakes Weather Radar

» Zip Code Forecasts

» Your Forecast

» Get the FLX Weather Mobile App

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday september 5 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

The Weather Takes No Holidays

Finger Lakes Weather relies on support from you, its users, as its primary source of funding. Major weather events particularly require a huge amount of time and energy, and no small amount of stress… especially on weekends and holidays. Your contributions are not only vital to keeping FLX Weather running, but they let me know you appreciate these services. Without continuous funding, this reliable service will not be possible.

Please consider making a contribution using the forms below or sponsoring FLX Weather with your business. Thank you for your continued support of Honest, Accurate, Accessible Weather!

Monthly Donation

$

You have chosen to donate $30.00 monthly.

Select Payment Method
Personal Info

Credit Card Info
This is a secure SSL encrypted payment.
Billing Details

Donation Total: $30.00 Monthly

Single Donation

$
Select Payment Method
Personal Info

Credit Card Info
This is a secure SSL encrypted payment.
Billing Details

Donation Total: $125.00


Please consider contributing in support of Finger Lakes Weather. Thank you for your continued support of Honest, Accurate, Accessible Weather!
» Support FLX Weather Today!
» Business Sponsorship information

Checks may also be mailed to: Finger Lakes Weather LLC, PO Box 326, Groton, NY 13073

Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.