A large area of high pressure stretches from the Gulf of Mexico to the coast of New England this morning and will take over as the dominant feature in our weather for the next few days.
Skies are clear across the Finger Lakes this morning as the high moves in, leading to some final chilly temperatures. Many places have bottomed out in the low 30s with pockets dropping into the 20s.
Temperatures will take off in a hurry this morning thanks to ample sunshine and southerly winds originating from the Southeastern United States. The wind will still be a bit blustery, with speeds up to 10 mph and gusts to 25 mph. Afternoon highs will be around 60 degrees.
The south wind will remain in place tonight and may even strengthen over higher elevations. This will continue to push warm air into the region. Even with clear skies, tonight will be around ten degrees warmer than last night. Many areas will stay near or above 40 degrees, and only pockets of 30s are expected.
Saturday will be like today, only warmer. Many areas will push towards 70 degrees. Wind speeds will diminish, spending most of the day below 10 mph. Wind gusts will be around 20 mph.
Few, if any, clouds are expected today or Saturday. That will begin to change by Sunday, though.
Low pressure will begin to develop along the Mid-Atlantic coast, spreading some thin clouds into the area. The sun will filter through these clouds, especially in the morning and in western areas. Rain is not expected, though, and high temperatures should still make it into the mid 60s at least.
Unsettled but Uncertain
The forecast confidence takes a quick drop Sunday night and into next week. What is certain is that it will remain warm, but just how warm will depend on what sort of rain chances there will be.
For Monday and Tuesday, the coastal low will be meandering its way northward. The models remain mixed and inconsistent with the chances for rain making it into the Finger Lakes.
The best chance for steadier, heavier rain would be late Sunday night into early Monday. The chances for that look to be fairly small, though.
More likely, some scattered showers will be about the area, and especially over the eastern half of the Finger Lakes. Some breaks of sun will also be possible and will be more prevalent to the west. As such, it will also be warmer to the west.
Tuesday likewise has a lower chance for rain than Monday, and thus should also have warmer temperatures. Highs very well may be back around 70 degrees.
By Wednesday, the coastal low may still be hanging around, but a second, quick moving system will move through the area before being absorbed into the low. How these two systems interact will influence what rain chances we see and at least some scattered showers should be expected.
This new system will help reinforce the warm air, so highs Wednesday should be at least near 70 degrees once again. Temperatures will take a small hit behind the system, with highs closer to 60 for the end of the week and possibly beyond.
Thursday may have some lingering showers, but then high pressure may build in for some quiet weather to at least start next weekend.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
2023 FLX Weather Calendar & Almanac now available for presale!
Finger Lakes Weather’s 2023 Calendar and Almanac is a stunning showcase of the beauty of the weather in the Finger Lakes, but it is so much more than just that! Be sure to reserve your copy and take advantage of the early bird pricing by preordering today!