Weather looks wintry this week, especially early Wednesday

finger lakes weather forecast monday november 14 2022 clouds flurries snow tuesday night wednesday morning
The first widespread wintry weather will move in Tuesday night and early Wednesday, making for a slick commute Wednesday morning. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

New Week, New Season

As promised, cold air has built into the Finger Lakes over the weekend and will bring us our first truly wintry week.

Temperatures are starting this morning in the upper 20s and low 30s. Lake effect snow showers overnight brought a light coating of snow to many areas. A few flurries remain scattered about the region early this morning.

The lake effect will dissipate this morning, but clouds will hang tough much of the day. Sunshine will likely be limited to a few brief glimpses of the sun here and there. If the sun makes it out more, it will likely be during the afternoon.

Many areas will struggle and fail to get to 40 degrees today. Those that do will barely get beyond 40 degrees. Higher elevations will be closer to 35 degrees. Northwest winds will blow at up to 10 mph this morning but will diminish during the afternoon.

A few lake flurries will be possible tonight, mainly along and north of I-90. These should be few and far between, with no more than another light coating of accumulation.

Tuesday will be quiet and cloudy. More places will reach 40 degrees tomorrow, but many will still stick to the upper 30s. Winds will be light from the east and southeast as low pressure approaches from the southwest.

This weather system will spread snow into the area Tuesday evening. The snow should be light to moderate at first, then will taper off a bit toward the middle of the night. Precipitation should then increase further, with moderate to at times heavy precipitation for the hours around dawn.

Much of what falls late Tuesday night and early Wednesday should be snow, but there is a chance for some sleet and freezing rain to mix in over the southeastern Finger Lakes. Snow accumulations will also be somewhat elevation-dependent, though even lower elevations should see accumulations, provided precipitation stays mostly snow.

Most areas should see 1-3 inches by Wednesday morning, though some higher elevations, as well as the northeastern Finger Lakes (Syracuse area), could see as much as 4 inches. The morning commute will be slick, especially before and right around sunrise, or if freezing rain becomes prevalent.

I will continue to fine-tune the details of this event and will have updates as necessary.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday november 14 2022 improved alt text coming to this daily graphic soon!
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Staying Cold

Precipitation Wednesday should come to an end by mid-morning. Temperatures will rise above freezing, improving road conditions and melting the snow that does fall. Highs Wednesday afternoon will be mostly near or just above 40 degrees.

Winds will turn to the west and northwest late in the day as cooler air wraps around the low and into the Finger Lakes. Lake effect snow will organize Wednesday night to the east of the Great Lakes.

Some heavy snow will be possible in the western Southern Tier, but most of the more immediate Finger Lakes region will just see snow showers.

Snow showers and wind speeds will increase on Thursday. On and off snow should be expected with brief coatings of accumulation. Wind speeds will be 10-15 mph with gusts of 25-35 mph from the west. High temperatures will be held to the mid and upper 30s.

Winds will turn to the southwest for Friday, Saturday, and possibly Sunday. These will be cold southwest winds, so temperatures will retreat further, with highs in the low and mid 30s each day.

A few snow showers will be possible as the winds shift on Friday, but most of the Finger Lakes should remain dry Saturday and Sunday with some sun. However, it is important to note that the lake effect machine off Lake Erie may be cranking, so those with travel plans in and around Buffalo and far western New York may have significant snow to account for.

Winds will eventually turn to the northwest early next week, opening a window for some lake snows in the Finger Lakes off Lake Ontario. It is too early to tell if this will lead to any accumulations, but temperatures look plenty cold with highs possibly even struggling to get much beyond 30 degrees.

Temperatures may moderate somewhat late next week, with highs back toward or above 40 degrees possible.

finger lakes weather 2023 calendar and weather almanac. Presales end tomorrow, 11/15!

Time is Up!

Over 200 people are eagerly awaiting my 2023 Weather Calendar and Almanac and have placed their presale orders. If you have been putting off reserving your copy, now is the time to act! After tomorrow, the presale period will close and the early bird pricing will expire. The presale orders will inform me how many calendars to have the printer run, and while there will be some extra, these will be on a first-come-first-serve basis. You do not want to miss out!

Like everything I do with FLX Weather, I designed this calendar to be both functional and something truly special. I have spent hours compiling and inserting weather statistics and interesting events into the pages and date grids. You will be fascinated by some of the things I have uncovered, such as in September 1953, when one FLX city reached 107 degrees, a mark that still stands as the second-highest temperature ever recorded in the Finger Lakes! In September!

The daily weather tracking stickers are a unique and fun addition that will turn your calendar into a keepsake weather journal. And the beautiful photos that are featured are sure to delight day after day, month after month.

These calendars will also make a great gift, so pick up a few extra copies, too! If there are shops, boutiques, Christmas tree farms, or other organizations that would like to sell calendars, please contact me asap about wholesale arrangements. These would add a perfect local flair to your offerings this holiday season!

Thank you to all who have joined the presale period so far. I really appreciate your support in keeping FLX Weather financially stable for 2023.

» Order your calendar by clicking here!

More Information:

» Finger Lakes Weather Radar

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday november 14 2022 improved alt text coming to this daily graphic soon!
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.