The low pressure system that brought heavy rain and severe thunderstorms to the area yesterday remains in the area.
The low has slid a bit to the east and will continue to do so throughout the day. Showers and thunderstorms will once again develop in the afternoon, but the overall picture looks less favorable for severe thunderstorms.
There will be a lack of both winds aloft to organize thunderstorms and instability to fuel their growth. Most of the activity this afternoon will remain individualized cells or small clusters with locally heavy rain and a few claps of thunder.
The best chance for rain will be between 3-9 PM. Prior to that, through the morning and early afternoon, there should be little to no precipitation with some sun mixing with the clouds.
Winds will be light from the south and southwest today with speeds of 5-10 mph. Temperatures will top out in the upper 70s to around 80 degrees this afternoon. It will remain muggy with dewpoints well into the 60s.
A few showers will be possible overnight and into Wednesday morning as the low passes by just to our north. The chances for rain should decrease Wednesday afternoon with an increase in sunshine.
Wednesday will have steady northwest winds around 10 mph which will bring in cooler, less humid air. Afternoon highs will be in the upper 60s and low 70s with more comfortable dewpoints in the mid and upper 50s.
Temperatures Wednesday night will follow suit, dropping into the mid 50s.
A Little Dry Weather
High pressure will build in behind the low for Thursday and Friday, bringing a break from the rain.
Thursday will have highs reaching the upper 70s with a mix of sun and clouds. Winds will be from the west and northwest with light speeds around 5 mph.
Skies will be mostly clear Thursday night with temperatures once again dipping into the mid 50s.
Some thin clouds will start to move in Friday morning and will mix with fair weather clouds through the afternoon. High temperatures should make it into the low 80s
The weather will most likely remain quiet on Friday, but there will be some unsettled weather over Pennsylvania late in the day that will need to be monitored. There is a small chance that a few showers could push this far north by the early evening.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will become more likely on Saturday and Sunday as a disorganized area of low pressure moves into the region.
Conditions for thunderstorms look better on Saturday than on Sunday, and the chances for a couple of robust storms will need to be monitored.
Temperatures both days should be near 80 degrees in the afternoon, and in the mid 60s overnight.
Some showers may linger into Monday, and maybe even Tuesday and Wednesday. Generally speaking, though, the rain on these days looks very scattered and light, having minimal impact on 4th of July festivities.
It will remain warm, but not too hot, with highs in the lower half of the 80s.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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