Rain becomes steadier by the midday and afternoon

finger lakes weather forecast rain front cool weekend
Unsettled weather will persist through the weekend with dropping temperatures. A big warm-up is still expected next week. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Soaking Rain

A slow-moving cold front is moving into the Finger Lakes region this morning.

Some scattered showers exist both ahead and behind the front, but many areas are not seeing much in the way of rain early this morning.

As low pressure develops along the front to our south, the rain should gradually increase this morning. By the midday hours, widespread rain is expected, which will persist through the afternoon and into the evening.

Some heavier downpours embedded within the wider area of rain will also be possible, especially late this afternoon and early this evening. The further east, the better the chance for some downpours as the front continues to creep eastward.

The highest chance for rainfall amounts to exceed an inch will be east of Cayuga Lake, and especially near and east of I-81. Significant flooding is not expected, but some poor drainage areas may see ponding and minor flooding.

Temperatures will not change much today. Many areas are starting in the upper 40s and low 50s. If anything, as the rain increases, temperatures may lose a couple of degrees.

Southeast winds will be a bit blustery early this morning well ahead of the front. Most of the day will have light and variable winds, though.

Skies will turn clear overnight, allowing temperatures to fall into the mid 30s by Friday morning. Clouds will develop during the second half of the morning, with showers popping up for the afternoon.

The showers should remain scattered, and some areas may not see much rain tomorrow. Individual showers will be short-lived but could contain some brief downpours or even a little small hail.

Temperatures on Friday will push into the low and mid 50s. Winds will generally be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday april 7 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Cool Weekend Followed by Big Warmup

A weather system will move into the area on Saturday, probably during the morning hours. This will bring in a small area of steady precipitation for parts of the region.

With morning temperatures in the low 30s, some of this may fall as snow if it arrives early enough. Scattered rain showers will be possible throughout the day. The timing and area of the steadier precipitation should become clearer over the next 24 hours.

Temperatures should still manage to reach the mid and upper 40s Saturday afternoon thanks to southwest winds through the first half of the day. During the afternoon, the wind will turn to the west and eventually northwest.

Steady northwest winds will blow on Sunday with speeds of 10-15 mph and gusts to 30 mph. These winds will push cold air into the region with highs struggling into the low 40s.

Scattered snow showers will mix with and turn to rain during the late morning and early to mid-afternoon hours. Some areas could see a light coating of snow during the morning, though.

Monday will be a day of transition as warmer air starts to push back. Skies will be a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the mid 50s.

Just 48 hours after the chilly and snowy weather Sunday, temperatures will soar on Tuesday. Afternoon highs near or above 70 degrees seem likely. A few stray showers will be possible.

Wednesday is less certain with a subtle front nearby. If the front slides south into the region, highs in the 60s or even 50s will be possible. If the front stays north, another day in the 70s is likely.

Thursday is more likely to be warm as the front pushes far to the north. This will be the day with the best chance for a few spots to approach 80 degrees. Mostly mid and upper 70s are expected, though.

A cold front is possible sometime Thursday night or early Friday. Still, highs near 70 will be possible Friday and maybe even Saturday. More likely, however, is that temperatures will begin to moderate downward by Saturday with near-average highs around 50 by Easter Sunday.

Looking beyond next weekend, temperatures will probably be near or slightly below average.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday april 7 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.