A large area of low pressure is nearly stationary to our northwest over the Upper Great Lakes.
This system will continue to bring unsettled weather to the Finger Lakes, especially for the next 36 hours.
Like yesterday, the region is starting the day quietly with little precipitation and some sun peeking out from between the clouds. Clouds will increase through the morning, and showers will start to pop up before noon.
The chances for graupel and/or hail are a bit lower than yesterday, but some of the stronger showers may still be able to produce some. The showers will be most numerous during the early and mid afternoon and most areas should get at least some rain.
Winds will start from the southwest but will turn more westerly as the day goes on. Wind speeds will remain low at near or just over 5 mph. Gusts will generally range between 15-20 mph.
Temperatures will be a touch cooler than yesterday, with many places struggling to reach 50 degrees. The best chance for getting above 50 will be across Wayne, northern Cayuga, and northern Onondaga counties. On the flip side, parts of the western Southern Tier may not escape the low 40s.
There will be a brief lull in the precipitation early this evening before an area of widespread precipitation spirals in from the west during the middle of the night. This precipitation will slowly move east and will continue for much of Wednesday morning.
With temperatures dropping to the mid and upper 30s, both rain and snow are expected. Some higher elevations could see a light coating of snow accumulate, especially across the western Southern Tier. Any snow will turn back over to rain gradually Wednesday morning after sunrise.
The steady precipitation will spiral back to the west and out of the region Wednesday afternoon, though some lingering showers will continue to be possible.
Winds will be light on Wednesday, generally coming in from the northwest. These winds, combined with the clouds and rain, will hold temperatures in the mid 40s for most areas. Overnight temperatures will be in the upper 30s with a few more rain showers.
Warming Through the Weekend
Scattered showers will continue to be possible into Thursday, but the overall coverage of the showers should be substantially less. Many areas will still see a little rain, but there will be more dry time than today or Monday.
Temperatures will start to rebound as well with mid 50s commonplace on Thursday. Winds will be northerly, but very light with speeds near or under 5 mph.
There will be one final day for a few showers on Friday as the low pressure departs the picture via the Atlantic Ocean. The showers should be sporadic, and many areas will see little to no rain. The midday and early afternoon hours appear to have the highest chance for these showers.
Winds will remain light from the north, but temperatures will still add on a couple more degrees, anyway. Look for highs in the upper 50s with a few of the typically warmer areas hitting 60 degrees.
Nighttime temperatures will remain chilly with mid 30s both Friday and Saturday morning, but the upward trend during the afternoon will continue. More areas will hit or get slightly above 60 degrees on Saturday.
No rain is expected with a mix of sun and clouds. The same is expected on Sunday and Monday as well, with temperatures continuing to rise. Sunday will start in the upper 30s but will see highs in the mid 60s. Monday will have lows in the low 40s and highs near 70 degrees.
Rain will be possible again toward the middle of next week but is uncertain at this time. How the rain unfolds will also impact temperatures, but highs should generally stay in the 60s through the end of next week and the weekend.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.